Jai-Alai Chalk Talk Hall of Fame

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Re(1): The Limits of Handicapping

Posted on September 14, 2003 at 05:27:29 PM by Tiger

Starting with the theoretical constraints of rotation and scoring:

Now add your abilities, condition, temperament, partner affinities (whatever turns you on), and how far up or down can you go from that? A good question.

1 chance in 3 seems like a push to me - I think I'd say 1 in 4, but that's still a stupendous rate. On the long end, the 1 in 20 sounds about right.

I add a routine to my history anaylzer to see how high/low my individual ratings actually get.

It's actually a problem I deal with in my analysis, i.e., how big a spread should I allow between best and worst.

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